AI doesnโ€™t fail at randomness. It fails at complexity.

09 Jun 2025

A screenshot from the paper: The Illusion of Thinking: Understanding the Strengths and Limitations of Reasoning Model... image
Apple just tested the smartest "reasoning" AI Models out there: Claude 3.7 Sonnet, DeepSeek-R1, OpenAIโ€™s o1/o3.
The verdict?

They didnโ€™t just underperform.
They ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ when things got to complex.

Even when you gave them the algorithm, they couldnโ€™t follow it.
Worse, when tasks got harder, they ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€, not more.

This confirms what many testers already feel in their gut:
AI looks smart until it has to think.

Because real reasoning isnโ€™t just generating confident answers.
Itโ€™s about:

โ€ข Navigating uncertainty
โ€ข Spotting whatโ€™s missing
โ€ข Asking, โ€œWait, does this even make sense?โ€

And thatโ€™s what great testers do every day.

We donโ€™t just validate that something works.
We question ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜†, ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜„, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ could break it next.

AI can make us more productive.
But when complexity scales, ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ the reasoning engine.
๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ.

Original Paper: https://machinelearning.apple.com/research/illusion-of-thinking
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Christine Pinto
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Conference speaker on AI and Quality Leadership | Long-time tester | Building tools testers actually enjoy using | Join the quest to level up software quality

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